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Post by weatherdude on Dec 21, 2012 10:10:16 GMT -5
EURO is 1:30, we'll see what that run shows.
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Post by pastormjunkie on Dec 21, 2012 15:22:38 GMT -5
I see a lot of confidence that this can't trend back west and that the transfer "will" take place sooner than modeled. I agree that with the confluence and the blocking that is currently being modeled a transfer would take place sooner rather than later, but we don't know that the blocking is being correctly modeled. and if that block is weaker this storm can and most likely will cut west and/or transfer later. this storm is 4-5 days out, a lot can change.
I am with WR that we have to watch this close.
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Post by pastormjunkie on Dec 21, 2012 15:24:15 GMT -5
EURO is 1:30, we'll see what that run shows. Euro ensembles are near LI. Another shift east. |
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Post by weatherdude on Dec 21, 2012 15:29:26 GMT -5
I hope we don't jink it and it goes OTS which is a possibility.
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Post by pastormjunkie on Dec 21, 2012 15:36:19 GMT -5
With the block, it may just hit PA/NJ/NYC and it might turn into a Northeast storm and not a coastal.
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Post by weatherdude on Dec 21, 2012 15:42:26 GMT -5
The models will change a lot. Let's keep calm. I know we are in a snow drought. LOL
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Post by weatherdude on Dec 21, 2012 15:49:03 GMT -5
Just saw the RAP model and it shows freezing rain, sleet and rain for MidAtl.  Maps are all over the place. |
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